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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10506/1006

Title: Обективна вероятност и експертна увереност.
Authors: Mengov, George
Keywords: Bayesian statistics, Reliability of expert estimates
Issue Date: 20-Mar-2013
Abstract: We discuss some unexpected relations between subjective belief and Bayesian posterior probability. Drawing upon achievements from the late 20th and early 21st century regarding people’s ability to be excellent Bayesian statisticians, we analyze how the reliability of an expert’s estimate could affect important decisions.
Description: Менгов, Г. (2009) Обективна вероятност и експертна увереност. Машиностроене и машинознание. Серия: Икономика и мениджмънт (ISSN 1312-8612), 4 (3), 44-48. Mengov, G. (2009) Objective probability and expert belief. Machine Building and Machine Science: Economics and Management Series, 4 (3), 44-48.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10506/1006
Appears in Collections:Statistics and Econometrics / Статистика и иконометрия

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