| dc.contributor.author |
Mengov, George |
|
| dc.coverage.spatial |
bulgarian |
bg |
| dc.date.accessioned |
2013-03-20T15:57:40Z |
|
| dc.date.available |
2013-03-20T15:57:40Z |
|
| dc.date.issued |
2013-03-20 |
|
| dc.identifier.uri |
http://hdl.handle.net/10506/1006 |
|
| dc.description |
Менгов, Г. (2009) Обективна вероятност и експертна увереност. Машиностроене и машинознание. Серия: Икономика и мениджмънт (ISSN 1312-8612), 4 (3), 44-48.
Mengov, G. (2009) Objective probability and expert belief. Machine Building and Machine Science: Economics and Management Series, 4 (3), 44-48. |
bg |
| dc.description.abstract |
We discuss some unexpected relations between subjective belief and Bayesian posterior probability. Drawing upon achievements from the late 20th and early 21st century regarding people’s ability to be excellent Bayesian statisticians, we analyze how the reliability of an expert’s estimate could affect important decisions. |
bg |
| dc.language.iso |
bg |
bg |
| dc.subject |
Bayesian statistics, Reliability of expert estimates |
bg |
| dc.title |
Обективна вероятност и експертна увереност. |
bg |
| dc.type |
journal article |
bg |
| dc.source.peerreview |
yes |
bg |
| dc.source.impactfactor |
yes |
bg |